January 2025 | The Council on Strategic Risks

Cutting the Nuclear Weapons Enterprise Serves No Strategy

Weakening the enterprise benefits neither a build-up or build-down approach and potentially ties the hands of negotiators.

October 2024 | The Council on Strategic Risks

The Next Administration’s Nuclear Posture

A Principled Guide to Maintaining a Safe, Secure, and Effective Nuclear Deterrent.

October 2024 | The Council on Strategic Risks

Seeking Out Moscow’s Early Nuclear Gravity Bombs

With these six new additions, we now count 145 types of nonstrategic nuclear systems deployed by the P5 from 1945 to today. Russia, previously an undercounted entry, now has 71 of these.

March 2024 | The Council on Strategic Risks

Strategic Stability’s Very Bad Week
When advocates want to return to a 2,500-warhead arsenal, or place nuclear weapons on conventionally armed submarines, the prior experiences of doing so—and learning to undo those decisions—must be a core part of the rationale.

December 2023 | Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists

New information tool on nuclear weapons seeks to identify the next arms control strategies
A key foundation for our project is the understanding that the types of nuclear weapons capabilities deployed at any given time matter greatly because they shape the risks of intentional, unauthorized, or accidental use of a nuclear weapon.

October 2023 | Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists

Why the US fixation on increased nuclear capability won’t deter China but could lead to instability and nuclear war
A stabilizing nuclear deterrence strategy needs to counterintuitively accept the potential of not dominating at every level to keep a much worse war from breaking out.

August 2023 | The Council on Strategic Risks

Ending Tactical Nuclear Weapons: A Brief History and a Path Forward
A report exploring the history of tactical nuclear weapons, highlighting their risks, prior arms control successes, and the risks proliferation poses today.

July 2023 | Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists

Oppenheimer’s vision for arms control is still upon us
In the end, his vision for arms control—and willingness to speak out for it—was incompatible with those drawing power from the bomb, and he was systematically and deliberately ruined for it.

March 28, 2023 | The Council on Strategic Risks

Russian Nuclear Weapons and Belarus: NATO Should Continue to Stand Steady
An briefer responding to Moscow’s decision to forward-deploy tactical nuclear weapons in Belarus.

January 31, 2023 | The Council on Strategic Risks

Blinken in Beijing: An Opportunity to Reduce Nuclear Risk
A blog highlighting opportunities for the U.S. and China to cooperate on nuclear weapons issues even amid confrontation elsewhere in the relationship.

October 27, 2022 | The Council on Strategic Risks

From Warfighting to a Fundamentally Limited Deterrent: Biden’s Nuclear Posture Review
An blog sizing up and analyzing the Biden Administration’s Nuclear Posture Review.

September 24, 2021 | Newsweek

What Trump and Milley Tell Us About Nuclear Weapons
An op-ed looking deeper on CJCS Milley’s actions after January 6 and illuminating the deeper problem in the system.

October 2, 2020 | Responsible Statescraft

A US nuclear weapons surge in 2021 would have no strategic value
An op-ed addressing the rumors that the Trump administration is considering up-loading the amount of nuclear weapons after allowing New START to lapse in February 2021.

August 6, 2020 | The Hill

Hiroshima 75 years later: The fallout continues
An opinion piece on the anniversaries of Hiroshima-Nagasaki, the hidden victims of the nuclear enterprise, and the potential activist coalitions that can still be built.

January 28, 2020 | Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists

The low-yield nuclear warhead: A dangerous weapon based on bad strategic thinking
Analysis on the W76-2 nuclear warhead and its strategic implications.

December 1, 2018 | Arms Control Today

A Grim Vision of Nuclear War
A review of The 2020 Commission Report on the North Korean Nuclear Attacks Against the United States, a speculative novel by Jeffrey Lewis.

October 2, 2018 | BBC World Service Newsday

On the “Presidential Alert”
A discussion with Newsday‘s Alan Kasujja on the looming national EAS test. Segment begins at 16:35.

September 30, 2018 | The Boston Globe

All Americans should welcome alerts from President Trump
As far back as the 1960s, the president’s ability to alert the nation was seen as a crucial part of confronting the only national emergency that mattered: nuclear war.

May 2018 | Master’s Thesis

Restraint by Design: The Ideological Origins of ‘Minimum Deterrence’ in China’s Nuclear Weapons Program

On October 16, 1964, with an ominous mushroom cloud rising over its northwestern frontier, the People’s Republic of China entered the exclusive group of nuclear weapons states, then a four-member club. Leaders in Beijing embarked on the path of nuclear weapons development reluctantly, they claimed, in response to continued atomic “brandishing” from the United States that had steadily abraded their nation’s security in times of conflict. Indeed, it was not until the late 1950s, after experiencing repeated threats of nuclear attack, both coded and explicit, that Chinese leader Mao Zedong determined that the atom bomb was truly a necessary component of their national security strategy.